Python Data Extraction from CIMT Web App · Monthly Trends (2024 – Oct 2025)
| Sector | % of Total SK Exports | % of This Product’s Exports Destined for China | 2024 – Oct 2025: History & Results | 2026 Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canola (Oilseeds) | 10% – 15% | 60% – 70% | China launched an anti-dumping investigation in Sept 2024. Export volumes stagnated after Aug 14, 2025 deposit enforcement. | Recovery Expected: Tax rate may drop to 15% on March 1, 2026. A strong rebound in volume is anticipated. |
| Potash | 30% – 35% | 15% – 20% | Values contracted due to price normalization, but physical export volume remained highly resilient due to essential demand. | Secure Supplier: Canada is expected to retain a premium position amid ongoing disruptions; most forecasts call for firmer prices and volumes into late 2026. |
| Barley | 1% – 2% | 60% – 75% | Maintained a meaningful presence in China despite renewed Australian competition; barley remains among Saskatchewan’s top exports by value. | Solid Demand: Beer premiumization maintains stickiness. Stable 2026 outlook with feed substitution growth(Prediction). |
| Grains (Wheat) | 10% – 12% | ~20% | Served as a partial alternative during canola disruption, with wheat exports rising noticeably year‑over‑year in 2025. | Structural Growth: Durum has upside potential as relations normalize; growth magnitude remains uncertain. |